Wednesday, 27 July 2016

Aston Martin Racing tastes victory at FIA WEC 6 Hours of Nürburgring

Aston Martin Racing tastes victory at FIA WEC 6 Hours of Nürburgring

  • #98 GTE Am entry victorious in Germany
  • 3rd place finish for #95 GTE Pro entry
  • FIA World Endurance Championship finishes European season
Our partners Aston Martin Racing have achieved double podium success at the 6 Hours of Nürburgring, taking victory in the GTE Am class and 3rd in GTE Pro.
With conditions remaining dry throughout the fourth round of the FIA World Endurance Championship (WEC), the trio of Paul Dalla Lana (C), Pedro Lamy (P) and Mathias Lauda (A) drove a faultless race to bring their V8 Vantage GTE home in 1st.
Following a strong stint from Lauda which saw him claim both 2nd and 1st positions on track, the team ensured an unbroken lead for the final 3 hours of the race.
The result brings vital points for the teams GTE Am title challenge, before the WEC leaves Europe for the 6 Hours of Mexico.

In GTE Pro, the team enjoyed a strong points haul for its #95 V8 Vantage GTE entry with 3rd place. Despite Nicki Thiim (DN) and Marco Sørensen (DN) displaying a strong performance, a late full course yellow soon after their final pitstop allowed others to benefit from the slower track, dropping the crew to 3rd by the finish.
The #97 GTE Pro entry of Darren Turner (GB) and Richie Stanaway (NZ) finished the race in 5th place.
The FIA World Endurance Championship will return on 3rd September for the 6 Hours of Mexico following the summer break.
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USDJPY. Japan’s Inflation Report (28 July 23:30 GMT)

USDJPY. Japan’s Inflation Report (28 July 23:30 GMT)

In recent days the USD/JPY pair has been increasingly volatile, possibly due to the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting this week. Many believe the agenda will include the discussion of additional measures of economic stimulation. Experts believe that such a programme could cost Japan 10-20 trillion Yen.
It’s quite possible that the final decision will hang on the inflation figures due to be published this week.
If those don’t live up to the expectations, the value of Japan’s national currency could suffer.
USDJPY chart:
After the rate broke the psychological level = 100 representatives of Bank of Japan started verbal money interventions (on a regular basis they mentioned that yet another QE program is about to start) and Japanese Yen started to lose positions after that. According to the indicator of technical analysis “CCI” there a short correction is possible on USDJPY D1 chart, but after the meeting of representatives of Bank of Japan or US Fed Reserve situation might change very quickly.

Monday, 25 July 2016

GBPUSD. UK’s GDP Change Report (27 July 8:30 GMT)

GBPUSD. UK’s GDP Change Report (27 July 8:30 GMT)

Ever since the British decided to leave the European Union each new economic report presents particular importance. The GDP figures are key for evaluating the health of the economy.
Against all reason, many of the recent economic reports are showing that the condition of the UK’s economy is improving. 
CPI keeps increasing:
..while the level of unemployment is decreasing:
What it more, it was decided to keep the interest rate unchanged (=0.50%) on the last meeting of representatives of Bank of England and it had a positive impact on the value of Brittish Pound. Despite the geopolitical difficulties and risks, economy is developing quite will and there are no massive difficulties and problems, if we analyze the economic data of England.
GBPUSD chart:
There is a flat rate movement in a narrow price range on GBPUSD D1 chart. The value of the indicator of technical analysis “Relative Strength Index” is close to 50% and it means that there is no trend at the moment.
The lines of support and resistance are highlighted with yellow on a price chart.

Saturday, 23 July 2016

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6 Ways to Get Maximum Gain from RSI Indicator

6 Ways to Get Maximum Gain from RSI Indicator

Trading community de facto applies RSI indicator to define levels of overbuying/overselling levels on market. Even without use of additional filters, indicator works good. Have a look on applying RSI that even more increase accuracy of the indicator.

Standard way to apply RSI The first, traditional way – buying option at the moment when RSI exits the zone of overbuying/overselling.
  • when the value of RSI line gets lower than overselling level of 30% usually, bears force weakens and that means, the exit of an indicator from this zone is the right time to open position for raising;
  • when values get higher than overbuying level of 70% usually, one needs to consider variants of entering on downturn.
Buying option is an operation strictly to be provided only by the moment when indicator exits overselling/overbuying zone.

RSI on minor timeframes

2nd way. If you trade turbo options or binaries with expiration time less than 30minutes, 70 and 30 levels not always allow to execute accurate enterings. Period should be decreased for indicator to reach its extreme values more frequent. For timeframe less than hour one may usel RSI equals 5 and 90 to 10 or even 95 to 5 levels.
Example of setting Rsi to 90/10 and 5 period:
3rd way. For additional approval you need to pay attention on higher period in order to see the global trend. Trading binary options opposing the trend is the bad idea, thus signal direction on current timeframe and one above must match together.
That is how signal approve looks on 1 minute and 5 minute charts:

Period and levels of RSI should match together on both charts.
4th way. There is scalping technique for supershort deals. This trading method is being frequently applied by american traders. The feature of the strategy is to get large amount of signals during a small period of time. The main goal is to absolutely minimize response time of an indicator.
Settings:
  • RSI period equals 2 bars;
  • Overbuying limits are also set maximally possible – 99 for overbuying and 1 for overselling.
As usual, this strategy is used on chart M1 or M5. Expiration time of binary option usually does not exceed 5 minutes.

RSI Divergence

5th way – searching for divergence on chart is an effective method of getting RSI signals.Divergence is a dissimilarity between chart and indicator values, for example when the chart draws higher and indicator shows lower maximum.
The example of divergence – two maximums on chart are on the same level while on the indicator chart the second maximum is much higher:
The thing to remember – you need to trust exactly what indicator shows, if it grows – we buy option CALL, if it decreases – PUT.
The example of entering the position on the basis of RSI divergence:

RSI & Bollinger Bands


The last, 6th way – to combine RSI indicators and Bollinger Bands,  because the first one shows impulsive movements and the second shows the main direction of market movement. As a result we get very precise signals on entering the position.

The rules of trading on RSI are fairly standard. Purchase PUT option by the time indicator line exits the overbought zone, or CALL option, when indicator line exits the oversold zone. But one should enter only in case the price is situated near the bottom line of Bollinger Bands, which should act as a filter. Ideally, the price should exactly overcross the line by the moment of receiving RSI signal.
In case of Сall signal, the price of opening the breakout candlestick should be above the line. The closing price above:
All the same is true for PUT-signal, in this case the price therewith should simultaneously cross the top line of a channel – Opening price higher, closing price lower (inside the channel):
The expiration time may vary depending on used timeframe. Ideally, the expiration time should be equal to quantity of bars needed to achieve the floating average (average line of the channel) from the edges of the channel. One may calculate the average quantity of bars needed to pass the distance from one edge to another and divide it by 2.

Conclusion 
The most famous and widespread indicators are able to become the basis of profitable trading strategy if one uses it properly. We discussed several simple ways of increasing the percentage of succesul deals through the traditional RSI strategy. Try to use these methods on free practice account.
Traditional indicator have become so merged into the trader’s lives, that many just don’t consider them as the serious trading instrument. At the same time, the majority of more up-to-date developments are based on the same RSI or floating averages. The primary benefit of RSI is its versatility, this indicator might be used on currency pairs, trade stocks or goods with equal success and without loss of quality.

Thursday, 21 July 2016

USDCAD. Canada’s CPI Report (22 July 12:30 GMT)

USDCAD. Canada’s CPI Report (22 July 12:30 GMT)

Despite the decreasing price of oil and the worsening of several Canadian economic indicators last week Bank of Canada decided to keep the interest rate unchanged. That decision was welcomed by the market.

While the political and economic situation in Canada is not as dire as in England, and the fundamental analysis doesn’t have as much of an effect on the prices, Inflation reports are still not to be dismissed. The CPI is a key economic indicator for Canada at this point.
Crude oil price has a massive impact on CAD. On wednesday last week US “Crude Oil Inventories” report was published and according to the statistics oil inventories keep decreasing and it has a positive impact on oil prices as was as on Canadian dollar, as it is a commodity currency:
USDCAD chart:

Starting from May 2016 there is flat rate movement on USDCAD D1 chart and that is why it is very important to take lines of support (highlighted with orange) and lines of resistance (highlighted with yellow) into the consideration. The value of the indicator of technical analysis “CCI” is in the neutral area and most likely the rate will remain in the narrow price range.



Thursday, 14 July 2016

EURUSD. Eurozone’s and US Inflation Reports (15 July)

EURUSD. Eurozone’s and US Inflation Reports (15 July)

In a time when leading global economies are keeping their refinancing rates to a minimum the importance of boosting the inflation comes to the forefront. Members of the ECB have lowered the rates to a zero, which had a positive effect on inflation and it’s growing slowly but steadily.
Eurozone CPI remains near the 0% and even a slight increase will have a positive impact on European currency:
..another two important economic reports from Eurozone were published last week, which affect the inflation directly. The first one is “Producer Price Index” and the actual results were significantly better than the expectations:
..also, Retail Sales report was published and the results are still on a decent level:
Overall situation in the USA is slightly better, but the inflation is still below the target level:
What is more, statistics from US labor market was published last week, including the most popular “NonFarm Payrolls” report. It seems that US national Bureau of Statistics has mixed up something and after the record low numbers last month, this time actual results were almost 300k (after 38k last month), but unemployment level increased from 4.7% to 4.9%. Looks like the numbers for last two months should be averaged:


There is still a downward trend on EURUSD D1 chart and indicators of technical analysis “Alligator” and “Awesome Oscillator” prove it as well. Longevity of further downward trend will depend on overall situation around “Brexit”.


Monday, 11 July 2016

Bank of Canada Meeting (Possible change of the Refinancing Rate)

USDCAD. Bank of Canada Meeting (Possible change of the Refinancing Rate) (13 July 14:00 GMT)

The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency. Last week the price of Oil was under pressure and went down to almost $45. Low Oil prices are having a negative effect on the Canadian dollar and on Canada’s economy in general, which stalls the necessary economic reform and hinges its growth.
At this point lowering the refinancing rate in Canada seems improbable. Traders will most likely be paying attention to BoC’s comments on the current state of the economy and their plans for its development.

Crude Oil price is another massive factor that has an impact on the value of Canadian Dollar. Oil price decreased by 8% last week and it has a negative impact on CAD.
USDCAD chart:
There was an uptrend on USDCAD D1 chart last week. The rate hit the line of resistance (highlighted with orange) and dropped.
According to the indicator of technical analysis “CCI” the indicator got to the overbought line and traders should be accurate with the signal. If the value of this indicator keep increasing there will be a further uptrend and in the opposite case – downward correction is expected on the price chart.


Thursday, 7 July 2016

EURUSD. US Unemployment rate and NonFarm Payrolls (8 June 12:30 GMT)

Last month the unemployment rate in the USA went from 4.9% to 4.7%, although the data on NonFarm paid positions turned out to be the worst in the last 5 years – 70% lower than expected. On top of that, due to UK’s exit from the European Union and the geopolitical risks grew more ominous and it means the FOMC will be more careful about raising the interest rate, which will have a negative effect on the US dollar.
NonFarm is one of the most sought-after news in the financial market. The publication of this report is inevitably followed by high volatility. Should the NonFarm figures meet the expectations, it will boost the US dollar.
Last week there were two important US economic reports. The first one is the GDP change for the first quarter of 2016 and the actual result a a bit higher that the forecast (and it had a positive impact on US Dollar):
..Consumer Confidence index was unexpectedly for the majority of market participants almost 5% higher than the expectations (it also had a positive impact on US Dollar):
It s very important to mention that Eurozone economy data was also on a decent level last week. According to the preliminary CPI data it is possible to say that the decision to cut both refinance and deposit rates sometime ago is beginning to yield the desirable results. CPI increase should be considered as a positive impact on EUR as long as year-over-year inflation is lower that 2-2.5%:
..also, unemployment level is no longer increasing (but remains on a pretty high level):
But due to the will of Brits to leave the European Union further escalation of “Brexit” situation will prevail over both fundamental analysis (publication of economic reports) and technical analysis.


EURUSD price remained almost unchanged after the last trading week. There was a somewhat rate decrease at the start of trading session on Monday, but this rate movement was due to new information regarding “Brexit” situation. After that geopolitical situation has stabilized and European currency started to strengthen and there is almost an upward trend on EURUSD H1 chart.


Tuesday, 5 July 2016

USDJPY. Japan’s Bank Lending Report (7 July 23:50 GMT)

Growing global geopolitical risks are forcing many investors to direct their funds to safer economies like Japan. However, the strengthening of the Yen is having a negative effect on the inflation. That’s precisely why one shouldn’t underestimate the importance of such reports as Bank Lending – an economic indicator directly connected to the level of inflation.
If the data published this Friday exceeds expectations, the price of Yen is likely to rise.

Due to the fact that investors all over the world reallocate their funds to Japanese economy Yen is strengthening and has a negative impact on the inflation. Last week CPI data was published and it is still in the negative zone and it will have a massive negative impact on monetary policy in the long-run:
..retail sales report was lower that the forecast (it has a massive impact on CPI):
..also, preliminary Industrial Production statistics was significantly worse that expected:
It means that the leaders of Bank of Japan have tough period – Japanese Yen strengthening might cause further rate decrease as well as new massive money emissions. But as long as “Brexit” is on the agenda – there will be a downward trend on USDJPY chart.

USDJPY chart:

Sure, fundamental analysis should prevail at the moment on USDJPY. But traders should not forget to analyze the overall dynamics of rate movement. According to the indicator of technical analysis “Awesome Oscillator” upward correction is yet to be finished and traders have to be accurate with PUT options for a longer expirations.

Monday, 4 July 2016

AUDUSD. Bank of Australia Board Meeting (5 July 04:30 GMT)

Despite the economic trouble in the Pacific region, Bank of Australia’s decision to lower the refinancing rate from 2.00% to 1.75% lead to an improvement in some sectors of the economy, namely on the job market. BoA’s representatives are rather conservative when it comes to changing the key economic indicator in the country, and very few people expect it to be fiddled with at the upcoming meeting.
If the refinancing rate remains unchanged, the Australian dollar will be strengthened.

Also, Retail Sales report and Trade Balance report will be published this week (on July 5 at 04:30 GMT +3):

AUDUSD chart:
Last week Australian dollar gained some position back against US Dollar, but according to the indicator of technical analysis this is yet to be a trend, most likely this is still an upward correction after the “Brexit”. It is expected that the situation will settle down next week and it will be possible to analyze the formation of new trends.

Sunday, 3 July 2016

7 sins of a trader you need to avoid

Here are some of the more common “sins” that may cost you money in the market until you learn to overcome them:

1. Perfectionism: 

There is no perfection in trading as far as making money on every trade or having a perfect system. All you can hope to be perfect at, is following your system, rules, and trading plan. Even the best traders only average about a 50%-60% win rate at best over long periods of time. The key is having bigger winners than losers, not being perfect.

2. Fear:  

Faith in your system is the only way to overcome your fear of trading. You must complete enough testing on your system until you know that you have a valid edge over the market in the long term. You must see opportunity in trading not possible losses.

3. Pride:  

We must separate ourselves from the trading. A person’s value is not tied to a trade or performance record. If we followed our system then we can’t view that as a personal loss. Our system failed us.

4. Impatience:

Wait, take your entry signal when it is time and not a tick before your system triggers the trade. It’s important let our profits run their course and not prematurely take them until the trend has run it’s course.

5. Greed:

Traders should not chase a trade when it is to late. We must take our profits off the table when it is time and we should never allow a winner to turn into a loser. If this happens you have nobody else to blame but your greed.

6. Anger:

Do not get mad at yourself.  Learn from your mistakes and move on. Every mistake gets you closer to learning what you need to do to become consistently profitable. Do not get mad at the “market” it is a voting machine and not an entity. Accept your losses and begin again.

7. Recklessness: 

Trading to big of a position size is risky,  reckless, and completely unnecessary. Only enter appropriate sized trades. Follow your system and rules.
We need to first realize what trading “sins” we are guilty of, then we can decide to repentand no longer commit them.
The saintly trader will realize that a trade is only in a long string of other trades and will move on to the next trade knowing that his system will outperform in the long term. He will have complete faith in his trading methodology and risk management.
Stay tuned for the article about the risk management itself!
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6 tips of the successful trader

1.Only day trade with money you can afford to lose.

Successful traders have a “little bucket” of risk capital and a “big bucket” of money they’re saving for retirement or another long-term goal. Big bucket money tends to be invested more conservatively and in longer-duration positions. It’s not absolutely forbidden to use this money occasionally for a day trade, but the odds should be very high in your favor.

2.Be patient.

Paradoxical though it may seem, successful day traders often don’t trade every day. They may be in the market, at their computer, but if they don’t see any opportunities that meet their criteria they will not execute a trade that day. That’s a lot better than going against your own best judgment out of an impatient desire to “just do something.” Plan your trades, then trade your plan.

3.Be disciplined.

Again, you need to set a trading plan and stick to it. If you’re trading on your own, impulsive behavior can be your worst enemy. Greed can keep you invest in trades that do not seem promising enough. Don’t expect to get rich on a single trade.

4.Don’t be afraid to push the button.

Novice day traders often face “paralysis by analysis” because they get wrapped up in watching the candles on their screen and can’t act quickly when opportunity presents itself. If you’re disciplined and work your plan, actually placing the order should be automatic.

5.Never risk too much capital on one trade.

Set a percentage of your total day trading budget (which might be anywhere from 2% to 10%, depending on how much money you have) and don’t allow the size of your position to exceed it. Otherwise, you may miss out on an even better opportunity in the market.

6.Don’t second-guess yourself, but do learn from experience.

Every day trader has losses, so don’t kick yourself when the occasional trade doesn’t go your way. Do, however, confirm that you followed your rules-based strategy and didn’t get in or out at the wrong time.
Also here are our TUTORIALS, we know that only a quarter of traders watch them, so please do not ignore these.
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